Dallas Fort-Worth industrial real estate
market reports
Q4 2022
DFW’s economy continues to gain strength. Jobs have expanded consistently, fully rebounding from the initial losses in early 2020. Total employment continues to hit new peaks, now at over 4.2 million and up 9.1% from its late 2019 watermark. DFW’s industrial jobs have risen more than 129,000 since that point, translating into 9.7% growth. This has been driven by ongoing strong demand from wholesale trade and transportation and warehousing. This high demand has also been pushing the region to set new industrial benchmarks. Overall, we do not see any major shifts that will alter DFW’s position as a highly desirable logistics location.
New deliveries
A strong year for industrial deliveries across the region, coming in at 40% to 50% above DFW’s longer-term average.
Industrial demand
Driven by the region’s robust deliveries, 2022 saw exceptional absorption. While lower than 2021’s record, the year still came in 60% above the region’s typical 20 msf level.
Vacancy
Vacancy is close to its all-time low. Historically, DFW has averaged around 8.5%, underscoring how competitive the market is for quality space.
Construction pipeline
This strong demand has resulted in a full development pipeline. Projects under development are reportedly 16% leased, which suggests that it may take some time to stabilize these properties even at the recent high absorption levels.
Rental rate trends
Rents are up dramatically over the last several years due to the strong demand and tight market. DFW remains an exceedingly affordable logistics hub compared to other prime US markets.
Capital Investments
DFW industrial investment volume hit $6.5 billion through Q3, driven by the comparatively affordable market and high demand. Average pricing was $137 psf, which reflects an ongoing uptick over the last couple of years and well above the pre-2020 trends that were $75-80 psf.
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