Dallas Fort-Worth industrial real estate
DFW continues to affirm its position as a key national logistics hub. Besides being the 4th largest metro area in the US, its central location midway between both coasts, its proximity to Mexico for cross border trade, and its superior interstate, rail, and air access, as well as its comparatively affordable business costs give it a unique competitive advantage over most other markets.
With 129 million square feet of deliveries and 124 million square feet of absorption since 2018, DFW is a dynamic industrial market that is experiencing a significant wave of new development as operators position to take advantage of these emerging opportunities.
DFW recently surpassed 4 million jobs and is one of the few markets that has fully recovered from the pandemic-induced downturn. Industrial jobs, in comparison, are up 48,000 from its prior late 2019 peak – an increase of 6.5%.
Total DFW industrial construction underway. Development taking place across most submarkets. Submarkets seeing the lion’s share of new development include South Dallas, North Fort Worth, Northwest Dallas, and East Dallas. Together, these submarkets account for 80% of the development new activity.
2022 YTD net absorption continues at a strong pace and ahead of past trends. Strongest areas include the high demand submarkets of North and South Fort Worth, South Dallas, and DFW Airport.
Despite significant development activity, demand is keeping pace. Vacancy continues near its lowest level in over a decade. Some submarkets are seeing conditions even tighter at vacancy near 5.0% and even lower.
Rental rate trends
Rental rates continue to move higher, fueled by the extraordinary demand, very low vacancy, and the quality and higher costs of new development. Average rates have increased 29% since the start of 2019, with warehouse & distribution space up slightly higher at 31%.
DFW industrial investment volume hit $1.5 billion in Q1. While well off the record pace of $3.3 billion seen in Q4 of last year, this is a more typical quarterly activity level. Q1 average pricing, however, continued to escalate, coming in at $139 psf. This compares to pricing more in the range of $75-80 psf over the last several years.
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